Caltech Home > GMG Center > Research > Funded Research > Enhancement Projects
open search form
Caltech
Geomechanics and
Mitigation of Geohazards
open menu close menu

Currently Active Enhancement Projects


GMG-EP-2 (2020-2022) (funded by Shell): Stress-based seismicity forecasting for CO2 storage.

Experimental plan:
  • WP1:Development of a modeling framework to  estimate pore pressure, reservoir deformation, and  stress variations with uncertainties quantification. Estimate seismicity rate with account for the nucleation process represented using the rate&state formalism.
  • WP2: Evaluation of the forecasting performance using the  Groningen  test case. This task involves the production of a seismicity catalog produced with Machine Learning techniques.
Publications:

Elías R Heimisson, Jonathan D Smith, Jean-Philippe Avouac, Stephen J Bourne, Coulomb threshold rate-and-state model for fault reactivation: application to induced seismicity at Groningen, Geophysical Journal International, Volume 228, Issue 3, March 2022, Pages 2061–2072, https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggab467. [PDF]